I just read an article about interpreting weather forecast data that said that less than half of the people in the study could correctly answer questions about a standard precipitation forecast. I don’t understand what’s so hard about it. If the forecast says there’s a 20% chance of rain than it means that the likelihood of it raining is 20%; that out of a hundred days with the same atmospheric condition that on twenty of those days (on average) it will rain. It’s all just about probability.
100% Chance of Stupidity